Arnett Gardens vs Portmore United Statistics & Analysis

Arnett Gardens

Oct 06, 2026 - 01:00

1 1.35

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 85%

Portmore United

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Arnett Gardens Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 02, 2026 · 01:27 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12432283

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Arnett Gardens 1–1 Portmore United

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Premier League
Fixture: Arnett Gardens vs Portmore United
Kickoff: 2026-10-06 01:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
xG (showing): Arnett Gardens 1.35 — Portmore United 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 46.3% · Probability edge: +5.5 pts · Est. EV: +7.7%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Premier League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Waterhouse	4	3	1	0	10
2	Montego Bay United	4	3	1	0	10
3	Racing United	4	3	0	1	9
4	Tivoli Gardens	4	2	2	0	8
5	Tru-Juice	4	2	1	1	7
6	Cavalier	3	2	1	0	7
7	Portmore United	3	1	2	0	5
8	Arnett Gardens	4	1	1	2	4
9	Mount Pleasant Academy	4	1	1	2	4
10	Chapelton	4	1	1	2	4
11	Molynes United	4	1	0	3	3
12	Treasure Beach	4	0	2	2	2
13	Humble Lions	4	0	1	3	1
14	Dunbeholden	4	0	0	4	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Waterhouse	4	14	1	+13	10
2	Racing United	4	10	3	+7	9
3	Arnett Gardens	4	8	7	+1	4
4	Tivoli Gardens	4	7	2	+5	8
5	Portmore United	3	6	3	+3	5
6	Cavalier	3	6	4	+2	7
7	Tru-Juice	4	5	2	+3	7
8	Montego Bay United	4	4	0	+4	10
9	Treasure Beach	4	4	7	-3	2
10	Molynes United	4	4	11	-7	3
11	Mount Pleasant Academy	4	3	6	-3	4
12	Chapelton	4	3	10	-7	4
13	Humble Lions	4	2	13	-11	1
14	Dunbeholden	4	1	8	-7	0