Statistics / Football / World. Gulf Cup of Nations / United Arab Emirates vs Oman

United Arab Emirates vs Oman Statistics & Analysis

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates
Oct 03, 2026 - 18:30
1 1.31
0 1.29
xG Accuracy: 64%
Oman Oman
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 02, 2026 · 02:12 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12440541

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result United Arab Emirates win · United Arab Emirates 1–0 Oman
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Gulf Cup of Nations
  • Fixture: United Arab Emirates vs Oman
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 18:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): United Arab Emirates 1.31 — Oman 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Gulf Cup of Nations Gulf Cup of Nations — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Saudi Arabia 3 3 0 0 9
2 Oman 3 1 1 1 4
3 Iraq 3 1 1 1 4
4 Kuwait 3 0 0 3 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Saudi Arabia 3 6 0 +6 9
2 Oman 3 4 5 -1 4
3 Iraq 3 4 5 -1 4
4 Kuwait 3 3 7 -4 0