Dunajska Streda vs Puskas Academy Statistics & Analysis

Dunajska Streda

Oct 01, 2026 - 13:00

2 1.36

1 1.24

xG Accuracy: 78%

Puskas Academy

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 01, 2026 · 01:11 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12178056

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Dunajska Streda win · Dunajska Streda 2–1 Puskas Academy

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Friendlies Clubs
Fixture: Dunajska Streda vs Puskas Academy
Kickoff: 2026-10-01 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 27.6% · Away 33.4%
xG (showing): Dunajska Streda 1.36 — Puskas Academy 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 44.5% · Probability edge: +7.3 pts · Est. EV: +10.3%
BTTS (model): Yes 53.4% · No 46.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 04, 2026 (UTC)

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