Statistics / Football / Uruguay. Primera División - Apertura / Cerro Largo vs Albion FC

Cerro Largo vs Albion FC Statistics & Analysis

Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
Oct 11, 2026 - 18:00
0 1.28
1 1.32
xG Accuracy: 64%
Albion FC Albion FC
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Albion FC Albion FC ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:20 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13234634

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Albion FC win · Cerro Largo 0–1 Albion FC
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Primera División - Apertura - Apertura
  • Fixture: Cerro Largo vs Albion FC
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
  • xG (showing): Cerro Largo 1.28 — Albion FC 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 42.5% · Probability edge: +5.7 pts · Est. EV: +10.4%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Cerro Largo & Albion FC!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Primera División - Apertura Primera División - Apertura — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Penarol 32 19 7 6 63
2 Deportivo Maldonado 32 17 8 7 59
3 Atletico Torque 32 17 6 9 57
4 Racing Montevideo 32 14 11 7 53
5 Club Nacional 31 16 4 11 52
6 Liverpool Montevideo 32 13 11 8 50
7 Wanderers 32 14 8 10 50
8 Albion FC 32 11 7 14 40
9 Juventud 32 10 10 12 40
10 Central Espanol 31 10 8 13 38
11 Cerro 32 10 6 16 36
12 Defensor Sporting 32 8 11 13 35
13 Boston River 32 9 7 16 34
14 Cerro Largo 32 8 9 15 33
15 Danubio 32 5 14 13 29
16 Progreso 32 8 5 19 29
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Atletico Torque 32 53 37 +16 57
2 Penarol 32 51 26 +25 63
3 Deportivo Maldonado 32 50 28 +22 59
4 Club Nacional 31 47 38 +9 52
5 Liverpool Montevideo 32 43 31 +12 50
6 Albion FC 32 42 42 0 40
7 Wanderers 32 41 39 +2 50
8 Juventud 32 37 39 -2 40
9 Racing Montevideo 32 36 27 +9 53
10 Central Espanol 31 32 42 -10 38
11 Boston River 32 32 43 -11 34
12 Defensor Sporting 32 30 39 -9 35
13 Cerro Largo 32 29 37 -8 33
14 Progreso 32 28 47 -19 29
15 Danubio 32 26 41 -15 29
16 Cerro 32 26 47 -21 36
Primera División - Apertura Uruguay. Primera División - Apertura Predictions