Statistics / Football / World. Friendlies Clubs / FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893

FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893 Statistics & Analysis

FC Winterthur FC Winterthur
Oct 03, 2026 - 14:00
7 1.34
3 1.26
xG Accuracy: 13%
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (10 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 FC Winterthur FC Winterthur ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 7-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 00:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11657548

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result FC Winterthur win · FC Winterthur 7–3 FC Basel 1893
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Friendlies Clubs
  • Fixture: FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 27.6% · Away 34.4%
  • xG (showing): FC Winterthur 1.34 — FC Basel 1893 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 31.1% · Probability edge: +20.7 pts · Est. EV: +68.3%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.5% · No 46.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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