Statistics / Football / World. Friendlies Clubs / Rodez vs Inter Club d'Escaldes

Rodez vs Inter Club d'Escaldes Statistics & Analysis

Rodez Rodez
Oct 03, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.31
0 1.29
xG Accuracy: 58%
Inter Club d'Escaldes Inter Club d'Escaldes
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Rodez Rodez ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 00:39 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11654611

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Rodez win · Rodez 2–0 Inter Club d'Escaldes
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Friendlies Clubs
  • Fixture: Rodez vs Inter Club d'Escaldes
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 27.6% · Away 35.7%
  • xG (showing): Rodez 1.31 — Inter Club d'Escaldes 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS No (Yes 53.5% · No 46.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.5% · No 46.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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