Statistics / Football / World. Friendlies Clubs / Grenoble vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Grenoble vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Statistics & Analysis

Grenoble Grenoble
Oct 02, 2026 - 16:00
0 1.23
0 1.37
xG Accuracy: 49%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 02:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11678937

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Grenoble 0–0 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Friendlies Clubs
  • Fixture: Grenoble vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 27.6% · Away 39.5%
  • xG (showing): Grenoble 1.23 — Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1.37 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 44.4% · Probability edge: +7.4 pts · Est. EV: +11.4%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.4% · No 46.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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