Statistics / Football / World. Friendlies Clubs / Sigma Olomouc vs Žilina

Sigma Olomouc vs Žilina Statistics & Analysis

Oct 02, 2026 - 12:00
4 1.36
0 1.24
xG Accuracy: 34%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:55 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11676488

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Sigma Olomouc win · Sigma Olomouc 4–0 Žilina
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Friendlies Clubs
  • Fixture: Sigma Olomouc vs Žilina
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 27.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): Sigma Olomouc 1.36 — Žilina 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 39.8% · Probability edge: +12.1 pts · Est. EV: +36.8%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.4% · No 46.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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