Statistics / Football / World. Friendlies Clubs / Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow

Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow Statistics & Analysis

Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice
Oct 02, 2026 - 10:00
3 1.33
4 1.27
xG Accuracy: 30%
Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Piast Gliwice Wisla Krakow ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:54 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11676391

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Wisla Krakow win · Piast Gliwice 3–4 Wisla Krakow
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Friendlies Clubs
  • Fixture: Piast Gliwice vs Wisla Krakow
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 27.6% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Piast Gliwice 1.33 — Wisla Krakow 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 37.9% · Probability edge: +13.9 pts · Est. EV: +32.1%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.5% · No 46.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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