Statistics / Football / World. Friendlies Clubs / Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Statistics & Analysis

Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
Oct 02, 2026 - 10:00
7 1.28
2 1.32
xG Accuracy: 17%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (9 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Radomiak Radom ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 7-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11675323

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Radomiak Radom win · Radomiak Radom 7–2 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Friendlies Clubs
  • Fixture: Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 27.6% · Away 37.2%
  • xG (showing): Radomiak Radom 1.28 — Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 39.2% · Probability edge: +12.6 pts · Est. EV: +28.0%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.5% · No 46.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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