Statistics / Football / Greece. Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 / Pannaxiakos vs Nea Ionia

Pannaxiakos vs Nea Ionia Statistics & Analysis

Pannaxiakos Pannaxiakos
Oct 12, 2026 - 10:30
2 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 58%
Nea Ionia Nea Ionia
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Pannaxiakos Pannaxiakos ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13190495

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Pannaxiakos win · Pannaxiakos 2–0 Nea Ionia
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Gamma Ethniki - Group 9
  • Fixture: Pannaxiakos vs Nea Ionia
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 09:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Pannaxiakos 1.32 — Nea Ionia 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Ilisiakos 3 3 0 0 9
2 AE Mykonos 3 2 1 0 7
3 Thyella Diastavroseos 2 2 0 0 6
4 Asteras Magoula 3 1 1 1 4
5 Asteras Varis 3 1 1 1 4
6 Nea Ionia 2 1 0 1 3
7 Pannaxiakos 2 1 0 1 3
8 Saronikos Anavyssou 3 1 0 2 3
9 Ilioupoli 2 0 1 1 1
10 Ethnikos Asteras 3 0 0 3 0
11 Acharnaikos 2 0 0 2 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ilisiakos 3 5 0 +5 9
2 Nea Ionia 2 5 2 +3 3
3 AE Mykonos 3 4 0 +4 7
4 Thyella Diastavroseos 2 3 1 +2 6
5 Pannaxiakos 2 3 3 0 3
6 Asteras Varis 3 2 3 -1 4
7 Ethnikos Asteras 3 2 5 -3 0
8 Asteras Magoula 3 1 1 0 4
9 Ilioupoli 2 1 2 -1 1
10 Saronikos Anavyssou 3 1 3 -2 3
11 Acharnaikos 2 0 7 -7 0
Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 Greece. Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 Predictions