Statistics / Football / Greece. Gamma Ethniki - Group 7 / Iraklis Xylokastro vs Asteras Amaliadas

Iraklis Xylokastro vs Asteras Amaliadas Statistics & Analysis

Iraklis Xylokastro Iraklis Xylokastro
Oct 03, 2026 - 13:00
4 1.32
2 1.28
xG Accuracy: 39%
⚽
Asteras Amaliadas
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Iraklis Xylokastro Iraklis Xylokastro ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 00:37 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11654329

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Iraklis Xylokastro win · Iraklis Xylokastro 4–2 Asteras Amaliadas
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Gamma Ethniki - Group 7
  • Fixture: Iraklis Xylokastro vs Asteras Amaliadas
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Iraklis Xylokastro 1.32 — Asteras Amaliadas 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Gamma Ethniki - Group 7 Gamma Ethniki - Group 7 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Iraklis Xylokastro 2 2 0 0 6
2 Ermis Kiveriou 2 1 1 0 4
3 Korinthos 2 1 1 0 4
4 Panthouriakos 2 1 1 0 4
5 Loutraki 2 1 0 1 3
6 Asteras Amaliadas 2 1 0 1 3
7 Pelopas Kiatou 2 1 0 1 3
8 Miltiadis Pyrgos 2 1 0 1 3
9 Panargiakos 2 0 2 0 2
10 Asteras Vlachioti 2 0 1 1 1
11 Telos Agras 2 0 0 2 0
12 Panthyreatikos 2 0 0 2 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Iraklis Xylokastro 2 6 2 +4 6
2 Ermis Kiveriou 2 5 3 +2 4
3 Korinthos 2 5 3 +2 4
4 Asteras Amaliadas 2 4 5 -1 3
5 Pelopas Kiatou 2 3 4 -1 3
6 Asteras Vlachioti 2 3 4 -1 1
7 Panthouriakos 2 2 1 +1 4
8 Loutraki 2 2 1 +1 3
9 Miltiadis Pyrgos 2 2 3 -1 3
10 Telos Agras 2 2 4 -2 0
11 Panargiakos 2 1 1 0 2
12 Panthyreatikos 2 1 5 -4 0