Statistics / Football / Kosovo. Superliga / Ballkani vs Drita

Ballkani vs Drita Statistics & Analysis

Ballkani Ballkani
Oct 13, 2026 - 12:00
0 1.35
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 64%
Drita Drita
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Ballkani Drita ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 07, 2026 · 01:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13656129

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Drita win · Ballkani 0–1 Drita
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Superliga
  • Fixture: Ballkani vs Drita
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-13 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
  • xG (showing): Ballkani 1.35 — Drita 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 44.2% · Probability edge: +4.0 pts · Est. EV: +3.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Superliga Superliga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Malisheva 9 6 2 1 20
2 Prishtina 8 6 2 0 20
3 Dukagjini 9 4 4 1 16
4 Gjilani 9 4 2 3 14
5 Drita 8 4 2 2 14
6 Ballkani 9 4 1 4 13
7 Drenica Skënderaj 9 2 4 3 10
8 Feronikeli 9 2 2 5 8
9 Llapi 9 1 1 7 4
10 Vushtrria 9 1 0 8 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Malisheva 9 21 7 +14 20
2 Prishtina 8 19 5 +14 20
3 Gjilani 9 13 9 +4 14
4 Drenica Skënderaj 9 11 12 -1 10
5 Ballkani 9 10 9 +1 13
6 Dukagjini 9 9 5 +4 16
7 Drita 8 9 6 +3 14
8 Llapi 9 8 22 -14 4
9 Feronikeli 9 7 15 -8 8
10 Vushtrria 9 4 21 -17 3
Superliga Kosovo. Superliga Predictions