Statistics / Football / Tunisia. Ligue 2 / Korba vs EGS Gafsa

Korba vs EGS Gafsa Statistics & Analysis

Korba Korba
Oct 04, 2026 - 14:00
3 1.29
0 1.31
xG Accuracy: 44%
EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 EGS Gafsa Korba ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11677385

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Korba win · Korba 3–0 EGS Gafsa
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Ligue 2
  • Fixture: Korba vs EGS Gafsa
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Korba 1.29 — EGS Gafsa 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 54.5% · Implied: 40.8% · Probability edge: +13.7 pts · Est. EV: +25.4%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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Ligue 2 Ligue 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 EM Mahdia 2 2 0 0 6
2 Mégrine 2 1 1 0 4
3 M'saken 2 1 1 0 4
4 Sfax Railways 2 1 1 0 4
5 AS Soliman 1 1 0 0 3
6 Redeyef 1 1 0 0 3
7 Sporting Ben Arous 2 1 0 1 3
8 AS Kasserine 1 1 0 0 3
9 BS Bouhajla 1 1 0 0 3
10 Kalaâ Sport 1 1 0 0 3
11 Bouchamma 1 1 0 0 3
12 JS Kairouanaise 1 1 0 0 3
13 US Tataouine 2 1 0 1 3
14 Ariana 1 0 1 0 1
15 Stade Gabesien 1 0 1 0 1
16 Ksour Essef 1 0 1 0 1
17 Olympique du Kef 1 0 1 0 1
18 Béni-Khalled 2 0 1 1 1
19 Stade Soussien 2 0 1 1 1
20 AS Gabes 2 0 1 1 1
21 CS Chebba 2 0 1 1 1
22 AS Agareb 2 0 1 1 1
23 CO Medenine 1 0 0 1 0
24 EGS Gafsa 1 0 0 1 0
25 Jendouba Sport 1 0 0 1 0
26 Korba 1 0 0 1 0
27 Kerkennah 2 0 0 2 0
28 Moknine 1 0 0 1 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 AS Soliman 1 4 1 +3 3
2 EM Mahdia 2 4 2 +2 6
3 Sporting Ben Arous 2 4 2 +2 3
4 Redeyef 1 3 0 +3 3
5 Mégrine 2 3 2 +1 4
6 M'saken 2 2 1 +1 4
7 Sfax Railways 2 2 1 +1 4
8 AS Kasserine 1 2 1 +1 3
9 BS Bouhajla 1 2 1 +1 3
10 Kalaâ Sport 1 2 1 +1 3
11 Béni-Khalled 2 2 3 -1 1
12 Stade Soussien 2 2 3 -1 1
13 US Tataouine 2 2 4 -2 3
14 Kerkennah 2 2 4 -2 0
15 AS Agareb 2 2 5 -3 1
16 Bouchamma 1 1 0 +1 3
17 JS Kairouanaise 1 1 0 +1 3
18 Ariana 1 1 1 0 1
19 Stade Gabesien 1 1 1 0 1
20 AS Gabes 2 1 2 -1 1
21 CS Chebba 2 1 2 -1 1
22 CO Medenine 1 1 2 -1 0
23 EGS Gafsa 1 1 2 -1 0
24 Ksour Essef 1 0 0 0 1
25 Olympique du Kef 1 0 0 0 1
26 Jendouba Sport 1 0 1 -1 0
27 Korba 1 0 1 -1 0
28 Moknine 1 0 3 -3 0
Ligue 2 Tunisia. Ligue 2 Predictions