Statistics / Football / Venezuela. Segunda División / Yaracuyanos FC vs Puerto Cabello II

Yaracuyanos FC vs Puerto Cabello II Statistics & Analysis

Yaracuyanos FC Yaracuyanos FC
Sep 30, 2026 - 20:00
3 1.51
0 1.09
xG Accuracy: 49%
Puerto Cabello II Puerto Cabello II
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Yaracuyanos FC Yaracuyanos FC ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 00:37 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10961889

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Yaracuyanos FC win · Yaracuyanos FC 3–0 Puerto Cabello II
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Segunda División
  • Fixture: Yaracuyanos FC vs Puerto Cabello II
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-30 20:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 45.3% · Draw 28.9% · Away 25.8%
  • xG (showing): Yaracuyanos FC 1.51 — Puerto Cabello II 1.09 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 48.2% · Probability edge: +3.6 pts · Est. EV: +3.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.3% · No 46.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.2%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 02, 2026 (UTC)

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Segunda División Segunda División — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Deportivo Lara 28 19 6 3 63
2 Fundación Lara Deportiva 28 15 8 5 53
3 Urena SC 28 12 9 7 45
4 Yaracuyanos FC 28 12 7 9 43
5 Zamora FC B 28 11 7 10 40
6 Atletico el Vigia FC 29 10 7 12 37
7 Puerto Cabello II 29 8 7 14 31
8 Club Atletico Barinas 29 9 4 16 31
9 Real Frontera 29 3 3 23 12
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Deportivo Lara 28 50 20 +30 63
2 Fundación Lara Deportiva 28 50 28 +22 53
3 Club Atletico Barinas 29 50 61 -11 31
4 Zamora FC B 28 45 40 +5 40
5 Urena SC 28 41 34 +7 45
6 Yaracuyanos FC 28 37 27 +10 43
7 Puerto Cabello II 29 36 43 -7 31
8 Atletico el Vigia FC 29 36 48 -12 37
9 Real Frontera 29 22 66 -44 12
Segunda División Venezuela. Segunda División Predictions