Ittifaq vs Al Urooba Statistics & Analysis

Ittifaq

Sep 28, 2026 - 14:40

1 1.24

2 1.36

xG Accuracy: 78%

Al Urooba

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Al Urooba Al Urooba ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 00:22 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10959065

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Al Urooba win · Ittifaq 1–2 Al Urooba

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Presidents Cup
Fixture: Ittifaq vs Al Urooba
Kickoff: 2026-09-28 14:40:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
xG (showing): Ittifaq 1.24 — Al Urooba 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 46.5% · Probability edge: +5.3 pts · Est. EV: +11.4%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 03, 2026 (UTC)

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