Statistics / Football / Uruguay. Primera División - Apertura / Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting

Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting Statistics & Analysis

Albion FC Albion FC
Oct 03, 2026 - 18:00
3 1.28
2 1.32
xG Accuracy: 52%
Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Defensor Sporting Albion FC ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11259269

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Albion FC win · Albion FC 3–2 Defensor Sporting
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Primera División - Apertura - Apertura
  • Fixture: Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
  • xG (showing): Albion FC 1.28 — Defensor Sporting 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 44.7% · Probability edge: +3.5 pts · Est. EV: +4.1%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Albion FC & Defensor Sporting!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Primera División - Apertura Primera División - Apertura — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Penarol 32 19 7 6 63
2 Deportivo Maldonado 32 17 8 7 59
3 Atletico Torque 32 17 6 9 57
4 Racing Montevideo 32 14 11 7 53
5 Club Nacional 31 16 4 11 52
6 Liverpool Montevideo 32 13 11 8 50
7 Wanderers 32 14 8 10 50
8 Albion FC 32 11 7 14 40
9 Juventud 32 10 10 12 40
10 Central Espanol 31 10 8 13 38
11 Cerro 32 10 6 16 36
12 Defensor Sporting 32 8 11 13 35
13 Boston River 32 9 7 16 34
14 Cerro Largo 32 8 9 15 33
15 Danubio 32 5 14 13 29
16 Progreso 32 8 5 19 29
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Atletico Torque 32 53 37 +16 57
2 Penarol 32 51 26 +25 63
3 Deportivo Maldonado 32 50 28 +22 59
4 Club Nacional 31 47 38 +9 52
5 Liverpool Montevideo 32 43 31 +12 50
6 Albion FC 32 42 42 0 40
7 Wanderers 32 41 39 +2 50
8 Juventud 32 37 39 -2 40
9 Racing Montevideo 32 36 27 +9 53
10 Central Espanol 31 32 42 -10 38
11 Boston River 32 32 43 -11 34
12 Defensor Sporting 32 30 39 -9 35
13 Cerro Largo 32 29 37 -8 33
14 Progreso 32 28 47 -19 29
15 Danubio 32 26 41 -15 29
16 Cerro 32 26 47 -21 36
Primera División - Apertura Uruguay. Primera División - Apertura Predictions