Sudan U20 vs Tanzania U20 Statistics & Analysis

Sudan U20

Sep 24, 2026 - 12:30

0 1.20

0 1.40

xG Accuracy: 49%

Tanzania U20

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Tanzania U20 Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 24, 2026 · 01:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10586043

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Sudan U20 1–1 Tanzania U20

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: CECAFA U20 Championship
Fixture: Sudan U20 vs Tanzania U20
Kickoff: 2026-09-24 12:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 30.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away 40.0%
xG (showing): Sudan U20 1.2 — Tanzania U20 1.4 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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CECAFA U20 Championship — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Tanzania U20	2	2	0	0	6
2	Rwanda U20	2	0	1	1	1
3	Ethiopia U20	2	0	1	1	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Tanzania U20	2	7	0	+7	6
2	Rwanda U20	2	0	3	-3	1
3	Ethiopia U20	2	0	4	-4	1