Statistics / Football / Brazil. Mineiro U20 / Coimbra U20 vs Atlético Mineiro U20

Coimbra U20 vs Atlético Mineiro U20 Statistics & Analysis

Coimbra U20 Coimbra U20
Oct 02, 2026 - 18:00
1 1.23
3 1.37
xG Accuracy: 60%
Atlético Mineiro U20 Atlético Mineiro U20
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Atlético Mineiro U20 Atlético Mineiro U20 ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 02:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10979252

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Atlético Mineiro U20 win · Coimbra U20 1–3 Atlético Mineiro U20
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Mineiro U20
  • Fixture: Coimbra U20 vs Atlético Mineiro U20
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.5%
  • xG (showing): Coimbra U20 1.23 — Atlético Mineiro U20 1.37 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 44.4% · Probability edge: +7.4 pts · Est. EV: +11.4%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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