Statistics / Football / Morocco. Botola 2 / El Massira vs Mouloudia Oujda

El Massira vs Mouloudia Oujda Statistics & Analysis

El Massira El Massira
Oct 11, 2026 - 15:00
2 1.31
2 1.29
xG Accuracy: 68%
Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 El Massira Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13214849

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · El Massira 2–2 Mouloudia Oujda
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Botola 2
  • Fixture: El Massira vs Mouloudia Oujda
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): El Massira 1.31 — Mouloudia Oujda 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Botola 2 Botola 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Ittihad Khemisset 3 3 0 0 9
2 USM Oujda 3 2 1 0 7
3 Wydad Fès 2 2 0 0 6
4 Yacoub El Mansour 2 2 0 0 6
5 Olympique Safi 3 1 2 0 5
6 El Massira 2 1 1 0 4
7 Olympique Khouribga 3 1 0 2 3
8 Mouloudia Oujda 2 1 0 1 3
9 Olympique Dcheïra 2 1 0 1 3
10 Chabab Ben Guerir 3 1 0 2 3
11 Stade Marocain 3 1 0 2 3
12 Union Sportive Boujaad 3 0 2 1 2
13 KAC Kenitra 3 0 1 2 1
14 Riadi Salmi 2 0 1 1 1
15 Chabab Mohammédia 2 0 0 2 0
16 Chabab Atl. Khenifra 2 0 0 2 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ittihad Khemisset 3 5 2 +3 9
2 Olympique Khouribga 3 5 3 +2 3
3 Wydad Fès 2 4 0 +4 6
4 USM Oujda 3 4 2 +2 7
5 Yacoub El Mansour 2 3 0 +3 6
6 Mouloudia Oujda 2 3 3 0 3
7 Olympique Safi 3 2 1 +1 5
8 El Massira 2 2 1 +1 4
9 Olympique Dcheïra 2 2 2 0 3
10 Chabab Ben Guerir 3 2 2 0 3
11 Stade Marocain 3 2 3 -1 3
12 KAC Kenitra 3 1 3 -2 1
13 Union Sportive Boujaad 3 1 4 -3 2
14 Chabab Atl. Khenifra 2 1 6 -5 0
15 Riadi Salmi 2 0 2 -2 1
16 Chabab Mohammédia 2 0 3 -3 0
Botola 2 Morocco. Botola 2 Predictions