Statistics / Football / Morocco. Botola 2 / Chabab Mohammédia vs USM Oujda

Chabab Mohammédia vs USM Oujda Statistics & Analysis

Chabab Mohammédia Chabab Mohammédia
Oct 04, 2026 - 16:00
0 1.23
1 1.37
xG Accuracy: 64%
USM Oujda USM Oujda
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 USM Oujda USM Oujda ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 02:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11684788

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result USM Oujda win · Chabab Mohammédia 0–1 USM Oujda
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Botola 2
  • Fixture: Chabab Mohammédia vs USM Oujda
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.5%
  • xG (showing): Chabab Mohammédia 1.23 — USM Oujda 1.37 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 37.2% · Probability edge: +11.0 pts · Est. EV: +26.3%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Chabab Mohammédia & USM Oujda!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Botola 2 Botola 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Wydad Fès 2 2 0 0 6
2 Ittihad Khemisset 2 2 0 0 6
3 Olympique Khouribga 2 1 0 1 3
4 Chabab Ben Guerir 1 1 0 0 3
5 Yacoub El Mansour 1 1 0 0 3
6 El Massira 1 1 0 0 3
7 USM Oujda 1 1 0 0 3
8 Mouloudia Oujda 2 1 0 1 3
9 Olympique Dcheïra 2 1 0 1 3
10 Olympique Safi 1 0 1 0 1
11 Union Sportive Boujaad 2 0 1 1 1
12 KAC Kenitra 1 0 0 1 0
13 Stade Marocain 2 0 0 2 0
14 Chabab Mohammédia 1 0 0 1 0
15 Riadi Salmi 1 0 0 1 0
16 Chabab Atl. Khenifra 2 0 0 2 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Wydad Fès 2 4 0 +4 6
2 Olympique Khouribga 2 4 1 +3 3
3 Ittihad Khemisset 2 3 1 +2 6
4 Mouloudia Oujda 2 3 3 0 3
5 Chabab Ben Guerir 1 2 0 +2 3
6 Yacoub El Mansour 1 2 0 +2 3
7 El Massira 1 2 1 +1 3
8 USM Oujda 1 2 1 +1 3
9 Olympique Dcheïra 2 2 2 0 3
10 Stade Marocain 2 1 3 -2 0
11 Chabab Atl. Khenifra 2 1 6 -5 0
12 Olympique Safi 1 0 0 0 1
13 KAC Kenitra 1 0 1 -1 0
14 Chabab Mohammédia 1 0 2 -2 0
15 Riadi Salmi 1 0 2 -2 0
16 Union Sportive Boujaad 2 0 3 -3 1
Botola 2 Morocco. Botola 2 Predictions