Statistics / Football / Morocco. Botola 2 / Mouloudia Oujda vs Olympique Dcheïra

Mouloudia Oujda vs Olympique Dcheïra Statistics & Analysis

Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda
Oct 03, 2026 - 18:00
2 1.31
1 1.29
xG Accuracy: 76%
Olympique Dcheïra Olympique Dcheïra
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:44 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11259194

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Mouloudia Oujda win · Mouloudia Oujda 2–1 Olympique Dcheïra
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Botola 2
  • Fixture: Mouloudia Oujda vs Olympique Dcheïra
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Mouloudia Oujda 1.31 — Olympique Dcheïra 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 54.5% · Implied: 44.6% · Probability edge: +9.9 pts · Est. EV: +18.8%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Botola 2 Botola 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Wydad Fès 2 2 0 0 6
2 Ittihad Khemisset 2 2 0 0 6
3 Olympique Khouribga 2 1 0 1 3
4 Chabab Ben Guerir 1 1 0 0 3
5 Yacoub El Mansour 1 1 0 0 3
6 El Massira 1 1 0 0 3
7 USM Oujda 1 1 0 0 3
8 Mouloudia Oujda 2 1 0 1 3
9 Olympique Dcheïra 2 1 0 1 3
10 Olympique Safi 1 0 1 0 1
11 Union Sportive Boujaad 2 0 1 1 1
12 KAC Kenitra 1 0 0 1 0
13 Stade Marocain 2 0 0 2 0
14 Chabab Mohammédia 1 0 0 1 0
15 Riadi Salmi 1 0 0 1 0
16 Chabab Atl. Khenifra 2 0 0 2 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Wydad Fès 2 4 0 +4 6
2 Olympique Khouribga 2 4 1 +3 3
3 Ittihad Khemisset 2 3 1 +2 6
4 Mouloudia Oujda 2 3 3 0 3
5 Chabab Ben Guerir 1 2 0 +2 3
6 Yacoub El Mansour 1 2 0 +2 3
7 El Massira 1 2 1 +1 3
8 USM Oujda 1 2 1 +1 3
9 Olympique Dcheïra 2 2 2 0 3
10 Stade Marocain 2 1 3 -2 0
11 Chabab Atl. Khenifra 2 1 6 -5 0
12 Olympique Safi 1 0 0 0 1
13 KAC Kenitra 1 0 1 -1 0
14 Chabab Mohammédia 1 0 2 -2 0
15 Riadi Salmi 1 0 2 -2 0
16 Union Sportive Boujaad 2 0 3 -3 1
Botola 2 Morocco. Botola 2 Predictions