Wydad Fès vs Union Sportive Boujaad Statistics & Analysis

Wydad Fès

Oct 03, 2026 - 16:00

3 1.32

0 1.28

xG Accuracy: 44%

Union Sportive Boujaad

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Wydad Fès Wydad Fès ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11255253

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Wydad Fès win · Wydad Fès 3–0 Union Sportive Boujaad

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Botola 2
Fixture: Wydad Fès vs Union Sportive Boujaad
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Wydad Fès 1.32 — Union Sportive Boujaad 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Botola 2 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Wydad Fès	2	2	0	0	6
2	Ittihad Khemisset	2	2	0	0	6
3	Olympique Khouribga	2	1	0	1	3
4	Chabab Ben Guerir	1	1	0	0	3
5	Yacoub El Mansour	1	1	0	0	3
6	El Massira	1	1	0	0	3
7	USM Oujda	1	1	0	0	3
8	Mouloudia Oujda	2	1	0	1	3
9	Olympique Dcheïra	2	1	0	1	3
10	Olympique Safi	1	0	1	0	1
11	Union Sportive Boujaad	2	0	1	1	1
12	KAC Kenitra	1	0	0	1	0
13	Stade Marocain	2	0	0	2	0
14	Chabab Mohammédia	1	0	0	1	0
15	Riadi Salmi	1	0	0	1	0
16	Chabab Atl. Khenifra	2	0	0	2	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Wydad Fès	2	4	0	+4	6
2	Olympique Khouribga	2	4	1	+3	3
3	Ittihad Khemisset	2	3	1	+2	6
4	Mouloudia Oujda	2	3	3	0	3
5	Chabab Ben Guerir	1	2	0	+2	3
6	Yacoub El Mansour	1	2	0	+2	3
7	El Massira	1	2	1	+1	3
8	USM Oujda	1	2	1	+1	3
9	Olympique Dcheïra	2	2	2	0	3
10	Stade Marocain	2	1	3	-2	0
11	Chabab Atl. Khenifra	2	1	6	-5	0
12	Olympique Safi	1	0	0	0	1
13	KAC Kenitra	1	0	1	-1	0
14	Chabab Mohammédia	1	0	2	-2	0
15	Riadi Salmi	1	0	2	-2	0
16	Union Sportive Boujaad	2	0	3	-3	1