Statistics / Football / Morocco. Botola 2 / Stade Marocain vs Ittihad Khemisset

Stade Marocain vs Ittihad Khemisset Statistics & Analysis

Stade Marocain Stade Marocain
Oct 03, 2026 - 16:00
0 1.30
1 1.30
xG Accuracy: 64%
Ittihad Khemisset Ittihad Khemisset
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Stade Marocain Ittihad Khemisset ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11255233

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Ittihad Khemisset win · Stade Marocain 0–1 Ittihad Khemisset
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Botola 2
  • Fixture: Stade Marocain vs Ittihad Khemisset
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Stade Marocain 1.3 — Ittihad Khemisset 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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Botola 2 Botola 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Wydad Fès 2 2 0 0 6
2 Ittihad Khemisset 2 2 0 0 6
3 Olympique Khouribga 2 1 0 1 3
4 Chabab Ben Guerir 1 1 0 0 3
5 Yacoub El Mansour 1 1 0 0 3
6 El Massira 1 1 0 0 3
7 USM Oujda 1 1 0 0 3
8 Mouloudia Oujda 2 1 0 1 3
9 Olympique Dcheïra 2 1 0 1 3
10 Olympique Safi 1 0 1 0 1
11 Union Sportive Boujaad 2 0 1 1 1
12 KAC Kenitra 1 0 0 1 0
13 Stade Marocain 2 0 0 2 0
14 Chabab Mohammédia 1 0 0 1 0
15 Riadi Salmi 1 0 0 1 0
16 Chabab Atl. Khenifra 2 0 0 2 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Wydad Fès 2 4 0 +4 6
2 Olympique Khouribga 2 4 1 +3 3
3 Ittihad Khemisset 2 3 1 +2 6
4 Mouloudia Oujda 2 3 3 0 3
5 Chabab Ben Guerir 1 2 0 +2 3
6 Yacoub El Mansour 1 2 0 +2 3
7 El Massira 1 2 1 +1 3
8 USM Oujda 1 2 1 +1 3
9 Olympique Dcheïra 2 2 2 0 3
10 Stade Marocain 2 1 3 -2 0
11 Chabab Atl. Khenifra 2 1 6 -5 0
12 Olympique Safi 1 0 0 0 1
13 KAC Kenitra 1 0 1 -1 0
14 Chabab Mohammédia 1 0 2 -2 0
15 Riadi Salmi 1 0 2 -2 0
16 Union Sportive Boujaad 2 0 3 -3 1
Botola 2 Morocco. Botola 2 Predictions