Statistics / Football / Turkey. Cup / Efeler 09 Spor vs Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor

Efeler 09 Spor vs Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor Statistics & Analysis

Efeler 09 Spor Efeler 09 Spor
Oct 07, 2026 - 11:30
1 1.22
2 1.38
xG Accuracy: 85%
Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 01, 2026 · 01:40 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12183529

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor win · Efeler 09 Spor 1–2 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Cup
  • Fixture: Efeler 09 Spor vs Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-07 11:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.0%
  • xG (showing): Efeler 09 Spor 1.22 — Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 1.38 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 44.8% · Probability edge: +7.1 pts · Est. EV: +8.8%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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