Statistics / Football / Eswatini. Premier League / Ubombo Sugar vs Mbabane Swallows

Ubombo Sugar vs Mbabane Swallows Statistics & Analysis

Ubombo Sugar Ubombo Sugar
Sep 19, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.20
0 1.40
xG Accuracy: 64%
Mbabane Swallows Mbabane Swallows
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Mbabane Swallows Ubombo Sugar ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 19, 2026 · 01:32 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9573779

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Ubombo Sugar win · Ubombo Sugar 1–0 Mbabane Swallows
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Premier League
  • Fixture: Ubombo Sugar vs Mbabane Swallows
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 30.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away 40.0%
  • xG (showing): Ubombo Sugar 1.2 — Mbabane Swallows 1.4 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Premier League Premier League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Ezulwini United 1 1 0 0 3
2 PPK Professionals 1 1 0 0 3
3 Moneni Pirates 1 1 0 0 3
4 Rangers FC 1 1 0 0 3
5 Ubombo Sugar 1 1 0 0 3
6 Manzini Sea Birds 1 0 1 0 1
7 Royal Leopards 1 0 1 0 1
8 Madlenya 1 0 1 0 1
9 Tabankulu 1 0 1 0 1
10 Green Mamba 1 0 1 0 1
11 Highlanders 1 0 1 0 1
12 Mbabane Swallows 1 0 0 1 0
13 Nsingizini Hotspurs 1 0 0 1 0
14 Young Buffaloes 1 0 0 1 0
15 Red Rhinos 1 0 0 1 0
16 Amawele 1 0 0 1 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ezulwini United 1 3 0 +3 3
2 PPK Professionals 1 3 1 +2 3
3 Manzini Sea Birds 1 3 3 0 1
4 Royal Leopards 1 3 3 0 1
5 Moneni Pirates 1 1 0 +1 3
6 Rangers FC 1 1 0 +1 3
7 Ubombo Sugar 1 1 0 +1 3
8 Madlenya 1 1 1 0 1
9 Tabankulu 1 1 1 0 1
10 Red Rhinos 1 1 3 -2 0
11 Green Mamba 1 0 0 0 1
12 Highlanders 1 0 0 0 1
13 Mbabane Swallows 1 0 1 -1 0
14 Nsingizini Hotspurs 1 0 1 -1 0
15 Young Buffaloes 1 0 1 -1 0
16 Amawele 1 0 3 -3 0