Statistics / Football / Burkina-Faso. Ligue 1 / Salitas vs ASFB

Salitas vs ASFB Statistics & Analysis

Salitas Salitas
Sep 20, 2026 - 15:30
2 1.39
2 1.21
xG Accuracy: 68%
ASFB ASFB
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Salitas Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 19, 2026 · 02:14 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9584946

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Salitas 2–2 ASFB
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Ligue 1
  • Fixture: Salitas vs ASFB
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 15:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
  • xG (showing): Salitas 1.39 — ASFB 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Ligue 1 Ligue 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Rahimo 2 2 0 0 6
2 FocuSport 2 2 0 0 6
3 ASFA-Yennenga 1 1 0 0 3
4 USFA 1 1 0 0 3
5 Comoé 2 1 0 1 3
6 Majestic 2 1 0 1 3
7 RCK 1 0 1 0 1
8 ASFB 1 0 1 0 1
9 Salitas 1 0 1 0 1
10 Vitesse 1 0 1 0 1
11 Sporting Cascades 1 0 1 0 1
12 CFFEB 2 0 1 1 1
13 Maya 2 0 1 1 1
14 Réal du Faso 2 0 1 1 1
15 Douanes 1 0 0 1 0
16 SONABEL 2 0 0 2 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Rahimo 2 4 2 +2 6
2 FocuSport 2 4 2 +2 6
3 RCK 1 2 2 0 1
4 ASFB 1 2 2 0 1
5 Salitas 1 2 2 0 1
6 Vitesse 1 2 2 0 1
7 Réal du Faso 2 2 3 -1 1
8 SONABEL 2 2 4 -2 0
9 ASFA-Yennenga 1 1 0 +1 3
10 USFA 1 1 0 +1 3
11 Comoé 2 1 1 0 3
12 Majestic 2 1 1 0 3
13 CFFEB 2 1 2 -1 1
14 Maya 2 1 2 -1 1
15 Sporting Cascades 1 0 0 0 1
16 Douanes 1 0 1 -1 0
Ligue 1 Burkina-Faso. Ligue 1 Predictions