Statistics / Football / Israel. State Cup / Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Azor

Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Azor Statistics & Analysis

Hapoel Herzliya Hapoel Herzliya
Oct 12, 2026 - 16:00
0 1.31
1 1.29
xG Accuracy: 64%
Hapoel Azor Hapoel Azor
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Hapoel Herzliya Hapoel Azor ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 07, 2026 · 02:34 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13667614

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Hapoel Azor win · Hapoel Herzliya 0–1 Hapoel Azor
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: State Cup
  • Fixture: Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Azor
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-12 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Hapoel Herzliya 1.31 — Hapoel Azor 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 50.2% · Probability edge: +1.6 pts · Est. EV: +3.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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