Statistics / Football / World. COSAFA U20 Championship / Comoros U20 vs Botswana U20

Comoros U20 vs Botswana U20 Statistics & Analysis

Comoros U20 Comoros U20
Sep 19, 2026 - 16:00
0 1.31
0 1.29
xG Accuracy: 49%
Botswana U20 Botswana U20
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Comoros U20 Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 18, 2026 · 01:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9335284

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Comoros U20 0–0 Botswana U20
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: COSAFA U20 Championship
  • Fixture: Comoros U20 vs Botswana U20
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-18 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Comoros U20 1.31 — Botswana U20 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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COSAFA U20 Championship COSAFA U20 Championship — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Namibia U20 3 3 0 0 9
2 Mozambique U20 3 2 0 1 6
3 Seychelles U20 3 1 0 2 3
4 Mauritius U20 3 0 0 3 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Mozambique U20 3 9 2 +7 6
2 Namibia U20 3 5 0 +5 9
3 Seychelles U20 3 5 10 -5 3
4 Mauritius U20 3 3 10 -7 0