Mozambique U20 vs Seychelles U20 Statistics & Analysis

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Validation Report

AI match briefing

Model Performance

AI Match Summary

Historical Recommendation

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Last Updated

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COSAFA U20 Championship — Standings

Mozambique U20

Sep 18, 2026 - 16:00

4 1.26

1 1.34

xG Accuracy: 43%

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Seychelles U20

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Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Seychelles U20 Mozambique U20 ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 4-1 ✖ Incorrect

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 18, 2026 · 01:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9335254

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Mozambique U20 win · Mozambique U20 4–1 Seychelles U20

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: COSAFA U20 Championship
Fixture: Mozambique U20 vs Seychelles U20
Kickoff: 2026-09-18 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
xG (showing): Mozambique U20 1.26 — Seychelles U20 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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