Khovd vs Amtat FC Statistics & Analysis

Khovd

Oct 10, 2026 - 05:00

8 1.34

0 1.26

xG Accuracy: 11%

⚽

Amtat FC

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (8 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Khovd Khovd ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 8-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 00:43 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13182516

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Khovd win · Khovd 8–0 Amtat FC

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Premier League
Fixture: Khovd vs Amtat FC
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 05:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
xG (showing): Khovd 1.34 — Amtat FC 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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Premier League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Tuv Azarganuud	7	7	0	0	21
2	Ulaanbaatar	6	5	1	0	16
3	Deren	7	4	2	1	14
4	Khovd	6	3	1	2	10
5	Hunters	6	3	0	3	9
6	Erchim	6	2	0	4	6
7	Khovd Western	6	1	0	5	3
8	Amtat FC	6	1	0	5	3
9	Ulaangom City	6	0	0	6	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Ulaanbaatar	6	29	4	+25	16
2	Tuv Azarganuud	7	29	7	+22	21
3	Khovd	6	23	15	+8	10
4	Deren	7	21	9	+12	14
5	Hunters	6	20	15	+5	9
6	Khovd Western	6	13	27	-14	3
7	Erchim	6	9	19	-10	6
8	Amtat FC	6	5	31	-26	3
9	Ulaangom City	6	4	26	-22	0