Statistics / Football / Mongolia. Premier League / Amtat FC vs Ulaanbaatar

Amtat FC vs Ulaanbaatar Statistics & Analysis

Sep 20, 2026 - 05:00
0 1.21
9 1.39
xG Accuracy: 9%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (9 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Ulaanbaatar Ulaanbaatar ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-9 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 18, 2026 · 00:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9324299

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Ulaanbaatar win · Amtat FC 0–9 Ulaanbaatar
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Premier League
  • Fixture: Amtat FC vs Ulaanbaatar
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 08:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
  • xG (showing): Amtat FC 1.21 — Ulaanbaatar 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Premier League Premier League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Tuv Azarganuud 4 4 0 0 12
2 Deren 4 3 1 0 10
3 Ulaanbaatar 3 2 1 0 7
4 Khovd 3 2 0 1 6
5 Erchim 4 2 0 2 6
6 Khovd Western 3 1 0 2 3
7 Amtat FC 4 1 0 3 3
8 Hunters 3 0 0 3 0
9 Ulaangom City 4 0 0 4 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Tuv Azarganuud 4 15 1 +14 12
2 Ulaanbaatar 3 14 3 +11 7
3 Deren 4 12 3 +9 10
4 Khovd 3 12 8 +4 6
5 Erchim 4 7 12 -5 6
6 Khovd Western 3 6 8 -2 3
7 Hunters 3 4 10 -6 0
8 Amtat FC 4 4 17 -13 3
9 Ulaangom City 4 2 14 -12 0