Ulaanbaatar vs Ulaangom City Statistics & Analysis

Ulaanbaatar

Oct 05, 2026 - 05:00

8 1.43

0 1.17

xG Accuracy: 12%

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Ulaangom City

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (8 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Ulaanbaatar Ulaanbaatar ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 8-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:34 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11669653

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Ulaanbaatar win · Ulaanbaatar 8–0 Ulaangom City

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Premier League
Fixture: Ulaanbaatar vs Ulaangom City
Kickoff: 2026-10-05 05:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.4% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.3%
xG (showing): Ulaanbaatar 1.43 — Ulaangom City 1.17 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Premier League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Tuv Azarganuud	6	6	0	0	18
2	Deren	6	4	2	0	14
3	Ulaanbaatar	5	4	1	0	13
4	Khovd	5	2	1	2	7
5	Hunters	5	2	0	3	6
6	Erchim	5	2	0	3	6
7	Khovd Western	5	1	0	4	3
8	Amtat FC	5	1	0	4	3
9	Ulaangom City	6	0	0	6	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Tuv Azarganuud	6	27	6	+21	18
2	Ulaanbaatar	5	26	3	+23	13
3	Deren	6	20	7	+13	14
4	Khovd	5	15	15	0	7
5	Hunters	5	14	13	+1	6
6	Khovd Western	5	11	21	-10	3
7	Erchim	5	8	16	-8	6
8	Amtat FC	5	5	23	-18	3
9	Ulaangom City	6	4	26	-22	0