Statistics / Football / Bangladesh. Premier League / Bangladesh Police vs Rahmatgonj MFS

Bangladesh Police vs Rahmatgonj MFS Statistics & Analysis

Bangladesh Police Bangladesh Police
Sep 18, 2026 - 09:00
1 1.25
0 1.35
xG Accuracy: 64%
Rahmatgonj MFS Rahmatgonj MFS
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Rahmatgonj MFS Bangladesh Police ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 18, 2026 · 01:09 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9331651

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bangladesh Police win · Bangladesh Police 1–0 Rahmatgonj MFS
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Premier League
  • Fixture: Bangladesh Police vs Rahmatgonj MFS
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-18 09:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
  • xG (showing): Bangladesh Police 1.25 — Rahmatgonj MFS 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Premier League Premier League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Bashundhara Kings 18 12 5 1 41
2 Abahani 18 11 4 3 37
3 Fortis 18 10 5 3 35
4 Bangladesh Police 18 6 9 3 27
5 Mohammedan Dhaka 18 6 5 7 23
6 Rahmatgonj MFS 18 6 5 7 23
7 Brothers Union 18 4 5 9 17
8 PWD Sports Club 18 4 5 9 17
9 Arambagh 18 3 5 10 14
10 Fakirerpool 18 2 4 12 10
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bashundhara Kings 18 42 18 +24 41
2 Abahani 18 37 15 +22 37
3 Fortis 18 31 13 +18 35
4 Mohammedan Dhaka 18 27 20 +7 23
5 Rahmatgonj MFS 18 21 25 -4 23
6 Bangladesh Police 18 19 15 +4 27
7 Brothers Union 18 18 29 -11 17
8 PWD Sports Club 18 15 28 -13 17
9 Fakirerpool 18 13 44 -31 10
10 Arambagh 18 12 28 -16 14
Premier League Bangladesh. Premier League Predictions