Statistics / Football / Kosovo. Superliga / Dukagjini vs Drita

Dukagjini vs Drita Statistics & Analysis

Dukagjini Dukagjini
Sep 20, 2026 - 17:00
1 1.30
2 1.30
xG Accuracy: 76%
Drita Drita
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Dukagjini Drita ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 17, 2026 · 00:56 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9159325

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Drita win · Dukagjini 1–2 Drita
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Superliga
  • Fixture: Dukagjini vs Drita
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Dukagjini 1.3 — Drita 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 41.7% · Probability edge: +6.5 pts · Est. EV: +10.9%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Superliga Superliga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Prishtina 6 6 0 0 18
2 Malisheva 7 5 1 1 16
3 Dukagjini 7 3 3 1 12
4 Drita 6 3 2 1 11
5 Gjilani 7 3 2 2 11
6 Ballkani 7 3 1 3 10
7 Drenica Skënderaj 7 2 3 2 9
8 Feronikeli 7 2 0 5 6
9 Llapi 7 1 0 6 3
10 Vushtrria 7 0 0 7 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Malisheva 7 19 6 +13 16
2 Prishtina 6 18 4 +14 18
3 Gjilani 7 10 8 +2 11
4 Drenica Skënderaj 7 9 7 +2 9
5 Ballkani 7 9 8 +1 10
6 Dukagjini 7 8 5 +3 12
7 Drita 6 8 5 +3 11
8 Llapi 7 8 21 -13 3
9 Feronikeli 7 5 13 -8 6
10 Vushtrria 7 3 20 -17 0