Statistics / Football / Burundi. Ligue A / Vital'O vs Aigle Noir

Vital'O vs Aigle Noir Statistics & Analysis

Vital'O Vital'O
Sep 17, 2026 - 13:00
3 1.29
2 1.31
xG Accuracy: 52%
Aigle Noir Aigle Noir
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Aigle Noir Vital'O ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 16, 2026 · 01:41 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8980873

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Vital'O win · Vital'O 3–2 Aigle Noir
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Ligue A
  • Fixture: Vital'O vs Aigle Noir
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-17 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Vital'O 1.29 — Aigle Noir 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Ligue A Ligue A — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Royal Vision 4 3 1 0 10
2 Muzinga 4 3 0 1 9
3 Vital'O 4 2 2 0 8
4 Aigle Noir 4 2 1 1 7
5 Le Messager Ngozi 3 2 1 0 7
6 Ngozi City 3 2 0 1 6
7 Rukinzo 3 1 2 0 5
8 Olympic Star 4 1 2 1 5
9 Never Give Up Academy 3 1 1 1 4
10 Bumamuru 4 1 1 2 4
11 Kayanza United 3 0 3 0 3
12 Flambeau du Centre 3 0 2 1 2
13 Inter Star 3 0 1 2 1
14 Panthere Noir 3 0 1 2 1
15 Musongati 4 0 1 3 1
16 Young Star 4 0 1 3 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Royal Vision 4 9 3 +6 10
2 Aigle Noir 4 8 6 +2 7
3 Vital'O 4 7 5 +2 8
4 Muzinga 4 6 2 +4 9
5 Ngozi City 3 5 3 +2 6
6 Olympic Star 4 4 4 0 5
7 Bumamuru 4 4 5 -1 4
8 Le Messager Ngozi 3 3 1 +2 7
9 Inter Star 3 3 5 -2 1
10 Rukinzo 3 2 1 +1 5
11 Never Give Up Academy 3 2 2 0 4
12 Flambeau du Centre 3 2 3 -1 2
13 Panthere Noir 3 2 4 -2 1
14 Young Star 4 2 9 -7 1
15 Kayanza United 3 1 1 0 3
16 Musongati 4 1 7 -6 1
Ligue A Burundi. Ligue A Predictions