Statistics / Football / World. Asian Games Women / Bangladesh W vs South Korea W

Bangladesh W vs South Korea W Statistics & Analysis

Bangladesh W Bangladesh W
Sep 17, 2026 - 07:00
0 1.32
6 1.28
xG Accuracy: 19%
South Korea W South Korea W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Bangladesh W South Korea W ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-6 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 15, 2026 · 01:39 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8830849

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result South Korea W win · Bangladesh W 0–6 South Korea W
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Asian Games Women
  • Fixture: Bangladesh W vs South Korea W
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-17 07:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Bangladesh W 1.32 — South Korea W 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 10.7% · Probability edge: +41.1 pts · Est. EV: +4.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Asian Games Women Asian Games Women — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Japan W 3 3 0 0 9
2 Chinese Taipei W 3 2 0 1 6
3 Vietnam W 3 0 1 2 1
4 Thailand W 3 0 1 2 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Japan W 3 20 0 +20 9
2 Chinese Taipei W 3 3 5 -2 6
3 Vietnam W 3 1 10 -9 1
4 Thailand W 3 0 9 -9 1
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