South Sudan U20 vs Burundi U20 Statistics & Analysis

South Sudan U20

Sep 15, 2026 - 14:00

0 1.36

4 1.24

xG Accuracy: 32%

Burundi U20

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 South Sudan U20 Burundi U20 ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:38 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8673033

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Burundi U20 win · South Sudan U20 0–4 Burundi U20

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: CECAFA U20 Championship
Fixture: South Sudan U20 vs Burundi U20
Kickoff: 2026-09-15 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): South Sudan U20 1.36 — Burundi U20 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

CECAFA U20 Championship — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Tanzania U20	2	2	0	0	6
2	Rwanda U20	2	0	1	1	1
3	Ethiopia U20	2	0	1	1	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Tanzania U20	2	7	0	+7	6
2	Rwanda U20	2	0	3	-3	1
3	Ethiopia U20	2	0	4	-4	1