Uzbekistan U23 vs Philippines U23 Statistics & Analysis

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Validation Report

AI match briefing

Model Performance

AI Match Summary

Historical Recommendation

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Last Updated

Explore More Predictions Content

Get Premium Predictions for Uzbekistan U23 & Philippines U23!

Asian Games — Standings

Uzbekistan U23

Sep 15, 2026 - 06:30

5 1.37

1 1.23

xG Accuracy: 35%

Philippines U23

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Uzbekistan U23 Uzbekistan U23 ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 5-1 ✖ Incorrect

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8672267

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Uzbekistan U23 win · Uzbekistan U23 5–1 Philippines U23

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Asian Games
Fixture: Uzbekistan U23 vs Philippines U23
Kickoff: 2026-09-15 06:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
xG (showing): Uzbekistan U23 1.37 — Philippines U23 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now

Back to Statistics

Thailand U23

Kyrgyz Republic U23

Hong Kong U23