Fredrikstad FK U19 vs Brann U19 Statistics & Analysis

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Fredrikstad FK U19

Oct 09, 2026 - 12:45

1 1.25

2 1.35

xG Accuracy: 78%

Brann U19

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Brann U19 Brann U19 ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 01:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12686844

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Brann U19 win · Fredrikstad FK U19 1–2 Brann U19

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Nasjonal U19 Champions League
Fixture: Fredrikstad FK U19 vs Brann U19
Kickoff: 2026-10-09 12:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
xG (showing): Fredrikstad FK U19 1.25 — Brann U19 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 25.0% · Probability edge: +26.8 pts · Est. EV: +94.2%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Nasjonal U19 Champions League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Lillestrøm U19	6	4	2	0	14
2	Stabæk U19	6	4	1	1	13
3	HamKam U19	6	4	1	1	13
4	Brann U19	6	4	1	1	13
5	Lyn U19	6	4	1	1	13
6	Rosenborg U19	6	4	0	2	12
7	Sandefjord U19	6	4	0	2	12
8	Tromsø U19	6	4	0	2	12
9	Strømsgodset U19	6	3	2	1	11
10	Åsane U19	6	3	1	2	10
11	Molde U19	6	3	1	2	10
12	Viking U19	6	3	1	2	10
13	Vålerenga U19	6	3	1	2	10
14	Odd U19	6	3	0	3	9
15	Sarpsborg 08 U19	6	3	0	3	9
16	Haugesund U19	6	3	0	3	9
17	Aalesunds U19	6	3	0	3	9
18	Fredrikstad FK U19	6	2	2	2	8
19	KFUM U19	6	2	2	2	8
20	Kongsvinger IL U19	6	2	1	3	7
21	Kristiansund U19	6	1	1	4	4
22	Moss U19	6	1	1	4	4
23	Sogndal U19	6	1	1	4	4
24	Sandnes Ulf U19	6	1	0	5	3
25	Bodø / Glimt U19	6	0	2	4	2
26	Start U19	6	0	1	5	1
27	Bryne U19	6	0	1	5	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Stabæk U19	6	24	9	+15	13
2	Rosenborg U19	6	24	13	+11	12
3	Strømsgodset U19	6	23	10	+13	11
4	Lillestrøm U19	6	21	11	+10	14
5	Odd U19	6	21	13	+8	9
6	Åsane U19	6	20	14	+6	10
7	Molde U19	6	20	16	+4	10
8	HamKam U19	6	19	9	+10	13
9	Brann U19	6	19	13	+6	13
10	Sarpsborg 08 U19	6	19	15	+4	9
11	Lyn U19	6	17	12	+5	13
12	Tromsø U19	6	16	14	+2	12
13	Haugesund U19	6	16	14	+2	9
14	Vålerenga U19	6	16	15	+1	10
15	Sandefjord U19	6	14	8	+6	12
16	Kongsvinger IL U19	6	14	12	+2	7
17	Viking U19	6	13	10	+3	10
18	Kristiansund U19	6	12	22	-10	4
19	Moss U19	6	12	28	-16	4
20	KFUM U19	6	11	17	-6	8
21	Bodø / Glimt U19	6	11	17	-6	2
22	Bryne U19	6	11	26	-15	1
23	Sogndal U19	6	10	26	-16	4
24	Fredrikstad FK U19	6	9	12	-3	8
25	Aalesunds U19	6	9	15	-6	9
26	Start U19	6	6	18	-12	1
27	Sandnes Ulf U19	6	6	24	-18	3