Al-Duhail SC vs Al-Arabi SC Statistics & Analysis

Al-Duhail SC

Sep 21, 2026 - 17:15

2 1.19

0 1.41

xG Accuracy: 54%

Al-Arabi SC

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Al-Arabi SC Al-Duhail SC ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 15, 2026 · 02:52 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8840165

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Al-Duhail SC win · Al-Duhail SC 2–0 Al-Arabi SC

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: QSL Cup
Fixture: Al-Duhail SC vs Al-Arabi SC
Kickoff: 2026-09-21 17:15:00
1X2 (model): Home 30.1% · Draw 29.4% · Away 40.5%
xG (showing): Al-Duhail SC 1.19 — Al-Arabi SC 1.41 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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