Statistics / Football / New-Zealand. National League - National / Napier City Rovers vs Cashmere Technical

Napier City Rovers vs Cashmere Technical Statistics & Analysis

Napier City Rovers Napier City Rovers
Oct 11, 2026 - 00:00
2 1.37
1 1.23
xG Accuracy: 79%
Cashmere Technical Cashmere Technical
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Napier City Rovers Napier City Rovers ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 00:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13183830

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Napier City Rovers win · Napier City Rovers 2–1 Cashmere Technical
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: National League - National
  • Fixture: Napier City Rovers vs Cashmere Technical
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 00:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): Napier City Rovers 1.37 — Cashmere Technical 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Napier City Rovers & Cashmere Technical!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
National League - National National League - National — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Miramar 3 2 1 0 7
2 Cashmere Technical 2 2 0 0 6
3 Auckland United 2 1 1 0 4
4 Auckland City 2 1 1 0 4
5 Wellington Olympic 3 1 1 1 4
6 Ferrymead Bays 3 1 1 1 4
7 Birkenhead United 2 1 0 1 3
8 Eastern Suburbs 2 0 1 1 1
9 Napier City Rovers 2 0 1 1 1
10 Wellington Phoenix II 3 0 1 2 1
11 Auckland FC 2 2 0 0 2 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Cashmere Technical 2 14 0 +14 6
2 Auckland United 2 8 2 +6 4
3 Miramar 3 7 3 +4 7
4 Auckland City 2 6 4 +2 4
5 Wellington Olympic 3 6 6 0 4
6 Ferrymead Bays 3 3 5 -2 4
7 Auckland FC 2 2 3 5 -2 0
8 Eastern Suburbs 2 2 4 -2 1
9 Napier City Rovers 2 2 8 -6 1
10 Birkenhead United 2 1 4 -3 3
11 Wellington Phoenix II 3 1 12 -11 1
National League - National New-Zealand. National League - National Predictions