Spartak Pleven II vs Partizan Statistics & Analysis

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Spartak Pleven II

Oct 04, 2026 - 13:00

1 1.37

0 1.23

xG Accuracy: 64%

Partizan

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Spartak Pleven II Spartak Pleven II ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 02:12 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11236126

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Spartak Pleven II win · Spartak Pleven II 1–0 Partizan

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Third League - Northwest
Fixture: Spartak Pleven II vs Partizan
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
xG (showing): Spartak Pleven II 1.37 — Partizan 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Third League - Northwest — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Akademik Svishtov	6	4	2	0	14
2	Lokomotiv Mezdra	6	3	3	0	12
3	Yantra Polski Trambesh	6	3	2	1	11
4	Partizan	5	2	3	0	9
5	Bdin	6	3	0	3	9
6	Kom Berkovitsa	6	2	3	1	9
7	Sevlievo	5	2	2	1	8
8	Chavdar Troyan	5	2	2	1	8
9	OFK Levski	5	1	2	2	5
10	Etar VT II	5	1	1	3	4
11	Pavlikeni	6	1	0	5	3
12	Spartak Pleven II	5	0	2	3	2
13	Juventus Malchika	4	0	0	4	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Yantra Polski Trambesh	6	17	8	+9	11
2	Lokomotiv Mezdra	6	12	4	+8	12
3	Bdin	6	12	11	+1	9
4	Akademik Svishtov	6	11	3	+8	14
5	Kom Berkovitsa	6	11	11	0	9
6	Partizan	5	8	4	+4	9
7	Etar VT II	5	8	9	-1	4
8	Sevlievo	5	7	5	+2	8
9	Spartak Pleven II	5	6	13	-7	2
10	Pavlikeni	6	5	11	-6	3
11	Chavdar Troyan	5	4	4	0	8
12	OFK Levski	5	3	5	-2	5
13	Juventus Malchika	4	0	16	-16	0