Statistics / Football / Bulgaria. Third League - Northwest / OFK Levski vs Bdin

OFK Levski vs Bdin Statistics & Analysis

OFK Levski OFK Levski
Sep 19, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.15
1 1.45
xG Accuracy: 70%
Bdin Bdin
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Bdin OFK Levski ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 2-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8694140

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result OFK Levski win · OFK Levski 2–1 Bdin
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Third League - Northwest
  • Fixture: OFK Levski vs Bdin
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 28.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 42.4%
  • xG (showing): OFK Levski 1.15 — Bdin 1.45 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Third League - Northwest Third League - Northwest — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 5 3 2 0 11
2 Akademik Svishtov 5 3 2 0 11
3 Yantra Polski Trambesh 5 2 2 1 8
4 Partizan 4 2 2 0 8
5 Sevlievo 5 2 2 1 8
6 Chavdar Troyan 4 2 2 0 8
7 Kom Berkovitsa 5 2 2 1 8
8 Bdin 5 2 0 3 6
9 Etar VT II 4 1 1 2 4
10 OFK Levski 4 1 1 2 4
11 Pavlikeni 5 1 0 4 3
12 Spartak Pleven II 5 0 2 3 2
13 Juventus Malchika 4 0 0 4 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Yantra Polski Trambesh 5 14 7 +7 8
2 Lokomotiv Mezdra 5 10 2 +8 11
3 Kom Berkovitsa 5 10 10 0 8
4 Akademik Svishtov 5 9 2 +7 11
5 Bdin 5 9 10 -1 6
6 Sevlievo 5 7 5 +2 8
7 Etar VT II 4 7 6 +1 4
8 Partizan 4 6 2 +4 8
9 Spartak Pleven II 5 6 13 -7 2
10 Pavlikeni 5 4 9 -5 3
11 Chavdar Troyan 4 3 1 +2 8
12 OFK Levski 4 2 4 -2 4
13 Juventus Malchika 4 0 16 -16 0
Third League - Northwest Bulgaria. Third League - Northwest Predictions