Statistics / Football / Colombia. Liga Femenina / Deportivo Cali W vs América de Cali W

Deportivo Cali W vs América de Cali W Statistics & Analysis

Deportivo Cali W Deportivo Cali W
Sep 12, 2026 - 20:30
0 1.50
1 1.10
xG Accuracy: 64%
América de Cali W América de Cali W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Deportivo Cali W América de Cali W ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 09, 2026 · 01:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7696149

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result América de Cali W win · Deportivo Cali W 0–1 América de Cali W
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Liga Femenina
  • Fixture: Deportivo Cali W vs América de Cali W
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-12 20:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 44.8% · Draw 29.0% · Away 26.2%
  • xG (showing): Deportivo Cali W 1.5 — América de Cali W 1.1 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 39.1% · Probability edge: +9.1 pts · Est. EV: +15.7%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.4% · No 46.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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