Juventus W vs Inter Milano W Statistics & Analysis

Juventus W

Sep 12, 2026 - 18:30

1 1.36

0 1.24

xG Accuracy: 64%

Inter Milano W

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Juventus W Juventus W ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 09, 2026 · 01:15 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7695227

Closing Odds 2.26

AI Fair Odds —

CLV +0.0%

Final Result Juventus W win · Juventus W 1–0 Inter Milano W

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Model vs. closing implied

Market	Model %	Closing impl. %	Gap (pp)
Juventus W (1X2)	38.0	40.1	-2.1
Draw (1X2)	29.6	28.3	+1.3
Inter Milano W (1X2)	32.4	31.6	+0.8
Over 2.5 goals	48.2	48.7	-0.5
Under 2.5 goals	51.8	51.3	+0.5

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table

Market	Early (PRE30)	Closing (PRE1)
Juventus W (1X2)	2.26	2.26
Draw (1X2)	3.2	3.2
Inter Milano W (1X2)	2.87	2.87
Over 2.5 goals	1.93	1.93
Under 2.5 goals	1.83	1.83

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Serie A Cup Women
Fixture: Juventus W vs Inter Milano W
Kickoff: 2026-09-12 18:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): Juventus W 1.36 — Inter Milano W 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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