Nantong Haimen Codion vs Xiamen Feilu Statistics & Analysis

Nantong Haimen Codion

Oct 07, 2026 - 11:30

2 1.45

0 1.15

xG Accuracy: 63%

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Xiamen Feilu

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Nantong Haimen Codion Nantong Haimen Codion ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 01, 2026 · 01:38 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12183248

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Nantong Haimen Codion win · Nantong Haimen Codion 2–0 Xiamen Feilu

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: League Two
Fixture: Nantong Haimen Codion vs Xiamen Feilu
Kickoff: 2026-10-07 11:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 42.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 28.4%
xG (showing): Nantong Haimen Codion 1.45 — Xiamen Feilu 1.15 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
Model: 48.2% · Implied: 44.5% · Probability edge: +3.6 pts · Est. EV: +6.0%
BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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