Tai'an Tiankuang vs Shangyu Pterosaur Statistics & Analysis

Tai'an Tiankuang

Oct 07, 2026 - 08:00

3 1.41

0 1.19

xG Accuracy: 47%

Shangyu Pterosaur

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Tai'an Tiankuang Tai'an Tiankuang ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 01, 2026 · 01:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12181203

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Tai'an Tiankuang win · Tai'an Tiankuang 3–0 Shangyu Pterosaur

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: League Two
Fixture: Tai'an Tiankuang vs Shangyu Pterosaur
Kickoff: 2026-10-07 08:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away 30.1%
xG (showing): Tai'an Tiankuang 1.41 — Shangyu Pterosaur 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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