Shanghai Second vs Yichun Grand Tiger Statistics & Analysis

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Shanghai Second

Oct 06, 2026 - 07:30

1 1.38

1 1.22

xG Accuracy: 85%

Yichun Grand Tiger

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Shanghai Second Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 30, 2026 · 01:30 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11909409

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Shanghai Second 1–1 Yichun Grand Tiger

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: League Two
Fixture: Shanghai Second vs Yichun Grand Tiger
Kickoff: 2026-10-06 07:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
xG (showing): Shanghai Second 1.38 — Yichun Grand Tiger 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
Model: 48.2% · Implied: 36.8% · Probability edge: +11.4 pts · Est. EV: +27.3%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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