Guizhou Zhucheng vs Shanghai Port II Statistics & Analysis

Guizhou Zhucheng

Oct 06, 2026 - 11:30

2 1.38

1 1.22

xG Accuracy: 79%

Shanghai Port II

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Guizhou Zhucheng Guizhou Zhucheng ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 30, 2026 · 01:34 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11910143

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Guizhou Zhucheng win · Guizhou Zhucheng 2–1 Shanghai Port II

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: League Two
Fixture: Guizhou Zhucheng vs Shanghai Port II
Kickoff: 2026-10-06 11:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
xG (showing): Guizhou Zhucheng 1.38 — Shanghai Port II 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
Model: 54.4% · Implied: 45.2% · Probability edge: +9.2 pts · Est. EV: +11.5%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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